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繁體中文Premier of Victoria 2026
15 outcomes · Closes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Jess Wilson | 69% | ▼8 pts |
| Ben Carroll | 18% | ▲2 pts |
| Danny O'Brien | 8% | ▲3 pts |
| Warren Pickering | 6% | ▲3 pts |
| Jacinta Allan | 5% | 0 pts |
| David Southwick | 4% | – |
| Sonya Kilkenny | <1% | – |
| Gabrielle Williams | <1% | 0 pts |
| Sam Groth | <1% | – |
| James Newbury | <1% | – |
| Emma Kealy | <1% | – |
| Steve Dimopoulos | <1% | – |
| Ellen Sandell | <1% | – |
| Jaclyn Symes | <1% | – |
| Brad Battin | <1% | – |
- Jess Wilson 67%
- Ben Carroll 19%
- Danny O'Brien 8%
100%50%0%
Aug 28Sep 17Oct 7
Key questions
Who is expected to win?
Jess Wilson, with a market-implied probability of 69%, ahead of Ben Carroll at 18%. Updated 2026-10-07 14:33 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.