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Ben Carroll: Premier of Victoria 2026?

Q: Ben Carroll: Premier of Victoria 2026?

Market-implied probability: 18%, as of 2026-10-07 14:07 UTC. Source: public prediction-market data.

18%Probability

1h change: ▼1 pt
24h change: ▲2 pts
1w change: ▲5 pts
Closes: Nov 29, 2026

Ben Carroll 19%

100%50%0%

Aug 28Sep 17Oct 7

Other outcomes in this event

Outcome	Probability	24h change
Jess Wilson	69%	▼8 pts
Danny O'Brien	8%	▲3 pts
Warren Pickering	6%	▲3 pts
Jacinta Allan	5%	0 pts
David Southwick	4%	–
Sonya Kilkenny	<1%	–
Gabrielle Williams	<1%	0 pts
Sam Groth	<1%	–
James Newbury	<1%	–
Emma Kealy	<1%	–
Steve Dimopoulos	<1%	–
Ellen Sandell	<1%	–

All 15 outcomes

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