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M + KD + SD: Which coalition will form the Swedish government?

<1%Probability

1h change
–
24h change
–
1w change
0 pts
Voting day
(24 days ago)
  1. M + KD + SD <1%
100%50%0%

Sep 15Sep 26Oct 7

Other outcomes in this event

OutcomeProbability24h change
S + MP24%▼1 pt
S20%▼1 pt
S + MP + C + V17%▼6 pts
S + MP + C13%▲3 pts
M + KD + L + C9%0 pts
S + MP + V7%0 pts
M + KD + L + SD6%▲1 pt
M + KD + L5%0 pts
Other4%–
S + MP + C + L2%0 pts
S + C1%–
S + M<1%–

All 21 outcomes

Related races

  1. Prime Minister of Sweden Magdalena Andersson 80%
  2. Which parties will be in the Swedish Government? Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 78%
  3. Regional Board Chair of Skåne? Carl Johan Sonesson 93%
  4. Regional Board Chair of Halland? Mikaela Waltersson 51%
  5. Regional Board Chair of Gävleborg? Eva Lindberg 91%
  6. Regional Board Chair of Östergötland? Mattias Ottosson 78%
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