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S + MP + C + V: Which coalition will form the Swedish government?

Q: S + MP + C + V: Which coalition will form the Swedish government?

Market-implied probability: 17%, as of 2026-10-07 14:33 UTC. Source: public prediction-market data.

17%Probability

1h change: ▼7 pts
24h change: ▼6 pts
1w change: ▼2 pts
Voting day: Sun, Sep 13, 2026 (24 days ago)

S + MP + C + V 17%

100%50%0%

Sep 15Sep 26Oct 7

Other outcomes in this event

Outcome	Probability	24h change
S + MP	24%	–
S	20%	–
S + MP + C	15%	▲4 pts
M + KD + L + C	9%	0 pts
S + MP + V	7%	▲1 pt
M + KD + L + SD	7%	▼1 pt
M + KD + L	5%	0 pts
Other	4%	0 pts
S + MP + C + L	2%	–
S + C	1%	–
S + MP + C + KD	<1%	0 pts
M + KD + SD	<1%	0 pts

All 21 outcomes

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