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Nicola Willis: Prime Minister of New Zealand?

Q: Nicola Willis: Prime Minister of New Zealand?

Market-implied probability: <1%, as of 2026-10-07 16:15 UTC. Source: public prediction-market data.

<1%Probability

1h change: –
24h change: –
1w change: 0 pts
Voting day: Sat, Nov 7, 2026 (in 31 days)

Nicola Willis <1%

100%50%0%

May 2026Jul 2026Oct 2026

Other outcomes in this event

Outcome	Probability	24h change
Christopher Luxon	56%	▼1 pt
Chris Hipkins	45%	▲1 pt
Chlöe Swarbrick	1%	0 pts
David Seymour	1%	–
Carmel Sepuloni	1%	0 pts
Winston Peters	<1%	–

All 7 outcomes

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Nicola Willis: Prime Minister of New Zealand?

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