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Lucie Castets: French Presidential Election 2027?

Q: Lucie Castets: French Presidential Election 2027?

Market-implied probability: <1%, as of 2026-10-07 16:42 UTC. Source: public prediction-market data.

<1%Probability

1h change: –
24h change: –
1w change: –
Closes: Apr 19, 2027

Lucie Castets <1%

100%50%0%

Jul 15Aug 26Oct 7

Other outcomes in this event

Outcome	Probability	24h change
Marine Le Pen	43%	–
Édouard Philippe	18%	–
Jean-Luc Mélenchon	13%	–
David Lisnard	12%	0 pts
François Hollande	3%	▼1 pt
Gabriel Attal	3%	▲1 pt
Bruno Retailleau	1%	0 pts
Raphaël Glucksmann	1%	0 pts
Sarah Knafo	1%	0 pts
Dominique de Villepin	1%	0 pts
Éric Zemmour	1%	0 pts
Jordan Bardella	1%	–

All 42 outcomes

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