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Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier, born in 1951, is a French conservative politician of The Republicans who was Prime Minister of France from September to December 2024.

Born
1951 (75 years), La Tronche
Party
The Republicans
Office
Member of the French National Assembly 2025–
Education
ESCP Business School
Political position

Centre-right · Where sources place the party (The Republicans)
Wikipedia: centre-right to right-wing (The Republicans)
Ideology: conservatism, Gaullism, pro-Europeanism

<1%Probability · French Presidential Election 2027

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He previously served as a minister, European Commissioner and the EU's chief Brexit negotiator. He is named in the race on whether he will announce a candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026.

Career

Barnier was born on 9 January 1951. He was National Assembly member for Savoie from 1978 to 1993, Minister of Environment (1993-1995), Minister Delegate for European Affairs (1995-1997), European Commissioner for Regional Policy (1999-2004), Foreign Minister (2004-2005) and Minister of Agriculture (2007-2009). He was the EU's chief Brexit negotiator from 2016 to 2021 and Prime Minister from September to December 2024. He has belonged to The Republicans since 2015.

Offices held
  1. Member of the French National Assembly 1978–1993, 2025–
  2. Prime Minister of France 2024–2024
  3. European Commissioner for Internal Market 2010–2014
  4. Member of the European Parliament 2009–2010
  5. Minister of Agriculture and Fisheries 2007–2010
  6. Minister of Foreign Affairs 2004–2005
  7. European Commissioner for Cohesion and Reforms 1999–2004
  8. Senator of the French Fifth Republic 1997–1999

Source: Wikidata

Positions

Wikipedia describes Barnier as a committed, patriotic conservative in the Gaullist tradition, with priorities of tighter immigration controls, security and European integration. In his 2021 presidential bid he proposed stopping non-European immigration for three to five years.

Summarised automatically from the linked sources. Wikipedia · Wikipedia

Photo: Florian David Pm, CC BY-SA 4.0, Wikimedia Commons (cropped)

  1. Michel Barnier <1%
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Nov 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026

French Presidential Election 2027

OutcomeLeft – RightAgeProbability
Marine Le PenFar right5843%
Édouard PhilippeCentre-right5518%
Jean-Luc MélenchonLeft7513%
David LisnardCentre-right5712%
François HollandeCentre-left723%
Gabriel AttalCentre373%
Bruno RetailleauCentre-right651%
Raphaël GlucksmannCentre-left461%
Sarah KnafoFar right331%
Éric ZemmourFar right681%
Jordan BardellaFar right311%
Michel BarnierCentre-right75<1%

All 42 outcomes

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