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Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve, born in 1963 in Senlis, is a French lawyer and politician.

Born
1963 (63 years), Senlis
Party
La Convention
Education
Institut d'études politiques de Bordeaux
Political position

Centre-left · Where sources place this person
Social democrat; former Socialist Party member (Wikipedia)
Ideology: social democracy

<1%Probability · French Presidential Election 2027

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He was Prime Minister from December 2016 to May 2017, Interior Minister from 2014 to 2016 and Budget Minister from 2013 to 2014. A Socialist Party member from 1987 to 2022, he founded La Convention in 2023. He is named among the possible contenders in the race on who will announce a 2027 presidential run in 2026.

Career

Cazeneuve trained at the Institut d'études politiques de Bordeaux. Under François Hollande he was Minister Delegate for the Budget (2013-2014), Minister of the Interior (2014-2016) and Prime Minister (6 December 2016 to 15 May 2017), the shortest premiership of the Fifth Republic until Michel Barnier's. He left the Socialist Party in 2022 over its coalition agreement with La France Insoumise, which he saw as incompatible with social democracy, and founded La Convention in 2023.

Offices held
  1. Member of the French National Assembly 1997–2002, 2007–2012, 2017–2017
  2. Prime Minister of France 2016–2017
  3. Minister of the Interior of France 2014–2016
  4. Mayor of a place in France 1995–2000

Source: Wikidata

Positions

Cazeneuve stands for a social democracy opposed to alliance with La France Insoumise. During the 2024 deadlock he was reported among the front-runners for Prime Minister; La France Insoumise members called that a betrayal, while Paris mayor Anne Hidalgo supported him, according to Wikipedia.

Summarised automatically from the linked sources. Wikipedia

Photo: State Chancellery of Latvia, CC BY-SA 2.0, Wikimedia Commons (cropped)

  1. Bernard Cazeneuve <1%
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Nov 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026

French Presidential Election 2027

OutcomeLeft – RightAgeProbability
Marine Le PenFar right5843%
Édouard PhilippeCentre-right5518%
Jean-Luc MélenchonLeft7513%
David LisnardCentre-right5712%
François HollandeCentre-left723%
Gabriel AttalCentre373%
Bruno RetailleauCentre-right651%
Raphaël GlucksmannCentre-left461%
Sarah KnafoFar right331%
Dominique de VillepinCentre-right721%
Éric ZemmourFar right681%
Bernard CazeneuveCentre-left63<1%

All 42 outcomes

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