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Waterloo, ON Mayoral Election Winner 2026

5 outcomes · Voting day: (in 19 days)

66% chance to win Dorothy McCabe

▲25 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 26Oct 7

35% chance to win Shannon Weber

▲18 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 25Oct 7

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Dorothy McCabe66%▲9 pts
Shannon Weber35%▼7 pts
Jamie Hari1%0 pts
Jeyas Balaskanthan1%0 pts
Jerry Jiang1%0 pts
  1. Dorothy McCabe 66%
  2. Shannon Weber 35%
100%50%0%

Aug 25Sep 15Oct 7

Key questions

When is the vote?

Monday, October 26, 2026 (in 19 days).

Who is expected to win?

Dorothy McCabe, with a market-implied probability of 66%, ahead of Shannon Weber at 35%. Updated 2026-10-07 15:35 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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