Election TrackerHow it worksFor newsrooms
EN

Home › Canada

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner 2026

13 outcomes · Voting day: (in 10 days)

67% chance to win Pete Fry

0 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Apr 2026Oct 2026

34% chance to win Ken Sim

▲5 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Apr 2026Oct 2026

Use widget

OutcomeProbability24h change
Pete Fry67%0 pts
Ken Sim34%–
John Coupar<1%0 pts
Kareem Allam<1%0 pts
Tim Louis<1%0 pts
Kirk LaPointe<1%–
Rebecca Bligh<1%0 pts
William Azaroff<1%▼1 pt
Sean Orr<1%–
Colleen Hardwick<1%–
Amanda Burrows<1%–
Fred Harding<1%–
Stephanie Allen<1%0 pts
  1. Pete Fry 67%
  2. Ken Sim 34%
100%50%0%

Apr 2026Jul 2026Oct 2026

Key questions

When is the vote?

Saturday, October 17, 2026 (in 10 days).

Who is expected to win?

Pete Fry, with a market-implied probability of 67%, ahead of Ken Sim at 34%. Updated 2026-10-07 16:36 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

Related races

  1. Saanich, BC Mayoral Election Winner Zac de Vries 63%
  2. Surrey Mayoral Election Brenda Locke 58%
  3. Richmond Mayoral Election Rob Howard 51%
  4. Revelstoke, BC Mayoral Election Winner Gary Sulz 63%
  5. Kamloops, BC Mayoral Election Winner Mike O'Reilly 65%
  6. Prince George, BC Mayoral Election Winner Kyle Sampson 38%
Embed this widget

Paste this code into an article or page. The widget updates by itself: the market-implied probability before the vote, live on election night, then the official result.

Preview

More widgets and options for newsrooms →

Quote these figures

You are welcome to embed Election Tracker widgets and to quote individual figures, with credit and a link to electiontracker.eu. Copying the data in bulk (scraping, feeds, databases) or reselling it is not permitted. © Eastern Vikings OÜ.