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Richmond Mayoral Election 2026

7 outcomes · Voting day: (in 10 days)

51% chance to win Rob Howard

▼11 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 11Oct 7

33% chance to win Kash Heed

▲1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 12Oct 7

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Rob Howard51%▼3 pts
Kash Heed33%▲14 pts
Alexa Loo16%▲6 pts
Dickens Cheung1%–
Henry Yao1%–
Mei Kang<1%–
Sheldon Starrett<1%0 pts
  1. Rob Howard 51%
  2. Kash Heed 33%
  3. Alexa Loo 16%
100%50%0%

Aug 11Sep 8Oct 7

Key questions

When is the vote?

Saturday, October 17, 2026 (in 10 days).

Who is expected to win?

Rob Howard, with a market-implied probability of 51%, ahead of Kash Heed at 33%. Updated 2026-10-07 16:36 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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