Thunder Bay, ON Mayoral Election Winner 2026
7 outcomes · Voting day: (in 19 days)
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Giertuga | 45% | ▼1 pt |
| Moe Comuzzi | 19% | ▼1 pt |
| Aldo Ruberto | 18% | – |
| Volker Kromm | 1% | 0 pts |
| Clinton Harris | 1% | 0 pts |
| Donald Baxter | <1% | – |
| Peter Mark John Diedrich | <1% | – |
- Trevor Giertuga 45%
- Moe Comuzzi 19%
- Aldo Ruberto 18%
100%50%0%
Aug 25Sep 15Oct 7
Key questions
When is the vote?
Monday, October 26, 2026 (in 19 days).
Who is expected to win?
Trevor Giertuga, with a market-implied probability of 45%, ahead of Moe Comuzzi at 19%. Updated 2026-10-07 15:35 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.