Sault Ste. Marie, ON Mayoral Election Winner 2026
5 outcomes · Voting day: (in 19 days)
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Joel Rowswell | 65% | ▲16 pts |
| Matthew Shoemaker | 28% | ▲12 pts |
| Josh McNally | <1% | – |
| Selva Rasaiah | <1% | – |
| Matthew Toffelmire | <1% | – |
- Joel Rowswell 65%
- Matthew Shoemaker 26%
100%50%0%
Aug 25Sep 15Oct 7
Key questions
When is the vote?
Monday, October 26, 2026 (in 19 days).
Who is expected to win?
Joel Rowswell, with a market-implied probability of 65%, ahead of Matthew Shoemaker at 28%. Updated 2026-10-07 19:50 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.