Election TrackerHow it worksFor newsrooms

Home › Canada

Oakville, ON Mayoral Election Winner 2026

5 outcomes · Voting day: (in 19 days)

58% chance to win Rob Burton

▼2 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 25Oct 7

24% chance to win Julia Hanna

▲2 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 26Oct 7

Use widget

OutcomeProbability24h change
Rob Burton58%▼11 pts
Julia Hanna24%▲2 pts
Jeff Knoll7%▼1 pt
Sean O'Meara4%–
Arvind Choudhary1%–
  1. Rob Burton 58%
  2. Julia Hanna 24%
  3. Jeff Knoll 8%
100%50%0%

Aug 25Sep 15Oct 7

Key questions

When is the vote?

Monday, October 26, 2026 (in 19 days).

Who is expected to win?

Rob Burton, with a market-implied probability of 58%, ahead of Julia Hanna at 24%. Updated 2026-10-07 16:36 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

Related races

  1. Toronto Mayoral Election Winner Olivia Chow 80%
  2. Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner Mark Sutcliffe 86%
  3. Oshawa, ON Mayoral Election Winner Tito-Dante Marimpietri 47%
  4. Markham, ON Mayoral Election Winner Frank Scarpitti 84%
  5. Vaughan, ON Mayoral Election Winner Steven Del Duca 94%
  6. Mississauga Mayoral Election Winner Carolyn Parrish 48%
Embed this widget

Paste this code into an article or page. The widget updates by itself: the market-implied probability before the vote, live on election night, then the official result.

Preview

More widgets and options for newsrooms →

Quote these figures

You are welcome to embed Election Tracker widgets and to quote individual figures, with credit and a link to electiontracker.eu. Copying the data in bulk (scraping, feeds, databases) or reselling it is not permitted. © Eastern Vikings OÜ.