Guelph, ON Mayoral Election Winner 2026
6 outcomes · Voting day: (in 19 days)
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Leanne Caron | 51% | – |
| Ken Yee Chew | 49% | ▼1 pt |
| Ryan Meunier | 3% | ▼1 pt |
| Evaristo Ramos Jr. | 3% | 0 pts |
| John Edward Krusky | <1% | – |
| Rajee Sinha | <1% | 0 pts |
- Leanne Caron 51%
- Ken Yee Chew 49%
100%50%0%
Aug 25Sep 15Oct 7
Key questions
When is the vote?
Monday, October 26, 2026 (in 19 days).
Who is expected to win?
Leanne Caron, with a market-implied probability of 51%, ahead of Ken Yee Chew at 49%. Updated 2026-10-07 15:35 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.