Greater Sudbury, ON Mayoral Election Winner 2026
8 outcomes · Voting day: (in 19 days)
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Lefebvre | 91% | – |
| Miranda Rocca-Circelli | 5% | ▲1 pt |
| Michael McIntosh | 2% | – |
| Rodney Newton | 2% | – |
| Keenan Menard | 1% | – |
| Joseph Boutros | 1% | ▼2 pts |
| Troy Crowder | 1% | – |
| Bob Johnston | <1% | – |
- Paul Lefebvre 91%
100%50%0%
Aug 25Sep 15Oct 7
Key questions
When is the vote?
Monday, October 26, 2026 (in 19 days).
Who is expected to win?
Paul Lefebvre, with a market-implied probability of 91%, ahead of Miranda Rocca-Circelli at 5%. Updated 2026-10-07 15:35 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.