Burlington, ON Mayoral Election Winner 2026
5 outcomes · Voting day: (in 19 days)
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Marianne Meed Ward | 63% | – |
| Rory Nisan | 19% | ▲1 pt |
| Lisa Kearns | 3% | – |
| Yugalkeesor Ramdhonee | 2% | ▼2 pts |
| Keith Demoe | 1% | – |
- Marianne Meed Ward 63%
- Rory Nisan 19%
100%50%0%
Aug 25Sep 15Oct 7
Key questions
When is the vote?
Monday, October 26, 2026 (in 19 days).
Who is expected to win?
Marianne Meed Ward, with a market-implied probability of 63%, ahead of Rory Nisan at 19%. Updated 2026-10-07 14:33 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.