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Barrie, ON Mayoral Election Winner 2026

4 outcomes · Voting day: (in 19 days)

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Alex Nuttall85%–
Tanya Saari11%–
Kay Sayer<1%–
Russell Tighe<1%–
  1. Alex Nuttall 85%
  2. Tanya Saari 11%
100%50%0%

Aug 25Sep 15Oct 7

Key questions

When is the vote?

Monday, October 26, 2026 (in 19 days).

Who is expected to win?

Alex Nuttall, with a market-implied probability of 85%, ahead of Tanya Saari at 11%. Updated 2026-10-07 14:33 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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