Barrie, ON Mayoral Election Winner 2026
4 outcomes · Voting day: (in 19 days)
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Nuttall | 85% | – |
| Tanya Saari | 11% | – |
| Kay Sayer | <1% | – |
| Russell Tighe | <1% | – |
- Alex Nuttall 85%
- Tanya Saari 11%
100%50%0%
Aug 25Sep 15Oct 7
Key questions
When is the vote?
Monday, October 26, 2026 (in 19 days).
Who is expected to win?
Alex Nuttall, with a market-implied probability of 85%, ahead of Tanya Saari at 11%. Updated 2026-10-07 14:33 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

