Ajax, ON Mayoral Election Winner 2026
5 outcomes · Voting day: (in 19 days)
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Marilyn Crawford | 79% | ▼3 pts |
| Ashmeed Khan | 15% | ▲1 pt |
| Vian Persad | 6% | 0 pts |
| Carion Fenn | 4% | 0 pts |
| Richard Hinds | 1% | 0 pts |
- Marilyn Crawford 79%
- Ashmeed Khan 15%
- Vian Persad 6%
100%50%0%
Sep 9Sep 23Oct 7
Key questions
When is the vote?
Monday, October 26, 2026 (in 19 days).
Who is expected to win?
Marilyn Crawford, with a market-implied probability of 79%, ahead of Ashmeed Khan at 15%. Updated 2026-10-07 14:33 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.