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UPB

UPB

The Federação União Progressista (UPB, Progressive Union) is a federation of two Brazilian parties, União Brasil and Progressistas, formed in April 2025.

Website
pp.org.br
Political position

Centre-right · Where sources place the party
Wikipedia: centre-right (União Brasil and Progressistas, its two members)
Ideology: liberal conservatism, conservatism

0%Probability · Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner 2026

Voting day
(3 days ago)

Its two members are both described by Wikipedia as centre-right. In the 2026 Chamber of Deputies election, Wikipedia lists the federation with 87 seats.

History

The federation was formed in April 2025 by União Brasil, created in 2021 from the Democrats and the Social Liberal Party, and Progressistas, founded in 1995 from a merger of two earlier parties and descended from the military regime's ARENA. Wikipedia lists the federation with 87 seats in the Chamber of Deputies after the 4 October 2026 election.

Positions

Wikipedia describes União Brasil as centre-right and liberal-conservative, and Progressistas as centre-right and conservative-liberal, a party sometimes described as close to the far right that voted with Jair Bolsonaro's government 93% of the time.

Summarised automatically from the linked sources. Wikipedia · Wikipedia · Wikipedia

  1. UPB 0%
100%50%0%

Apr 2026Jul 2026Oct 2026

This market has closed. The figures above are its final state.

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner 2026

OutcomeLeft – RightProbability
Partido Liberal (PL) ResolvedRight100%
Partido Social Democrático (PSD) ResolvedCentre0%
FE Brasil ResolvedCentre-left0%
REPUBLICANOS ResolvedRight0%
Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) ResolvedCentre0%
PSDB-CIDADANIA ResolvedCentre0%
Podemos (PODE) ResolvedCentre-right0%
Partido Democrático Trabalhista (PDT) ResolvedCentre-left0%
Partido Socialista Brasileiro (PSB) ResolvedCentre-left0%
PSOL-REDE ResolvedLeft0%
PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE ResolvedCentre0%
UPB ResolvedCentre-right0%

All 15 outcomes

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