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Huon Valley Mayoral Election Winner 2026

6 outcomes · Voting day: (today)

Official results: Tasmanian Electoral Commission

Live

40% chance to win Abby McKibben

▲7 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Sep 11Oct 27

30% chance to win Mark Jessop

▼1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%
Sep 12Oct 27

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@electiontracker.eu

OutcomeProbability24h change
Abby McKibben40%▲5 pts
Mark Jessop30%▲13 pts
Marshall Callaghan15%0 pts
Paul GibsonLeft13%▼9 pts
Sally Doyle1%0 pts
Toby Thorpe1%▼1 pt
  1. Abby McKibben 40%
  2. Mark Jessop 30%
  3. Marshall Callaghan 15%
100%50%0%

Sep 4Sep 30Oct 27

Key questions

When is the vote?

Tuesday, October 27, 2026 (today).

Who is expected to win?

Abby McKibben, with a market-implied probability of 40%, ahead of Mark Jessop at 30%. Updated 2026-10-27 14:52 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

Abby McKibben 40%

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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