Home › Germany › Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

No Next Chancellor before 2028: Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

Q: No Next Chancellor before 2028: Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

Market-implied probability: 69%, as of 2026-10-07 16:15 UTC. Source: public prediction-market data.

69%Probability

1h change: –
24h change: –
1w change: ▲13 pts
Closes: Jan 1, 2030

No Next Chancellor before 2028 69%

100%50%0%

Sep 16Sep 26Oct 7

Other outcomes in this event

Outcome	Probability	24h change
Hendrik Wüst	14%	–
Markus Söder	5%	▼1 pt
Alice Weidel	3%	0 pts
Boris Pistorius	1%	▲1 pt
Lars Klingbeil	1%	–
Felix Banaszak	<1%	0 pts
Carsten Linnemann	<1%	–
Jens Spahn	<1%	–
Tino Chrupalla	<1%	–
Katharina Dröge	<1%	–
Heidi Reichinnek	<1%	–
Sahra Wagenknecht	<1%	–

All 13 outcomes

Embed this widget

Paste this code into an article or page. The widget updates by itself: the market-implied probability before the vote, live on election night, then the official result.

<iframe src="https://electiontracker.eu/embed/germany/chancellor-before-2028" title="Chancellor of Germany before 2028?" width="100%" height="400" style="border:0;max-width:640px" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<script src="https://electiontracker.eu/embed.js" async></script>

Preview

More widgets and options for newsrooms →