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繁體中文Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
13 outcomes · Closes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| No Next Chancellor before 2028 | 69% | – |
| Hendrik Wüst | 14% | – |
| Markus Söder | 5% | – |
| Alice Weidel | 4% | 0 pts |
| Boris Pistorius | 1% | ▲1 pt |
| Lars Klingbeil | 1% | – |
| Felix Banaszak | <1% | 0 pts |
| Carsten Linnemann | <1% | – |
| Jens Spahn | <1% | – |
| Tino Chrupalla | <1% | – |
| Katharina Dröge | <1% | – |
| Heidi Reichinnek | <1% | – |
| Sahra Wagenknecht | <1% | – |
- No Next Chancellor before 2028 69%
- Hendrik Wüst 14%
- Markus Söder 5%
100%50%0%
Sep 16Sep 26Oct 7
Key questions
Who is expected to win?
No Next Chancellor before 2028, with a market-implied probability of 69%, ahead of Hendrik Wüst at 14%. Updated 2026-10-07 14:28 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.