Election TrackerHow it worksFor newsrooms
EN

Home › Bosnia & Herzegovina

Siniša Karan

Siniša Karan

Siniša Karan (born 1962) is a Bosnian Serb politician of the Alliance of Independent Social Democrats (SNSD) and a former police officer.

Born
1962 (64 years), Beli Manastir
Party
Alliance of Independent Social Democrats
Political position

Centre-left · Where sources place the party (Alliance of Independent Social Democrats)
Wikipedia: centre-left to left-wing, disputed; also described as right-wing (SNSD)
Ideology: Serbian nationalism, social democracy, left-conservatism

0%Probability · Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Voting day
(3 days ago)

He was Republika Srpska's interior minister from 2022 to 2025 and its higher-education minister until January 2026, and has been President of Republika Srpska since February 2026. He is named among the contenders for the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina in the general election held on 4 October 2026.

Career

Karan served in the police from 1985 to 2008, including as commander of the Kupres police station and as a chief of criminal investigations. He later was an adviser to the president and general secretary of the Republika Srpska government. He was Minister of the Interior from December 2022 to September 2025 and Minister of Scientific-Technological Development and Higher Education from September 2025 to January 2026. In the November 2025 early election for President of Republika Srpska he won 50.39% against Branko Blanuša's 48.22%. Repeat voting at some polling stations on 8 February 2026 gave him 50.53%, and he was sworn in on 17 February 2026.

Summarised automatically from the linked sources. Wikipedia · Wikipedia

Photo: Presidential Executive Office of Russia, CC BY 4.0, Wikimedia Commons (cropped)

  1. Siniša Karan 0%
100%50%0%

May 2026Jul 2026Oct 2026

This market has closed. The figures above are its final state.

Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

OutcomeLeft – RightAgeProbability
Željka Cvijanović ResolvedCentre-left59100%
Branko Blanuša ResolvedCentre-right570%
Marinko Božović Resolved0%
Nebojša Vukanović ResolvedCentre-right470%
Draško Stanivuković ResolvedCentre-right0%
Siniša Karan ResolvedCentre-left640%

All 6 outcomes

Embed this widget

Paste this code into an article or page. The widget updates by itself: the market-implied probability before the vote, live on election night, then the official result.

Preview

More widgets and options for newsrooms →