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Trenčín Region Governor Election Winner 2026

2 outcomes · Voting day: Sat, Oct 24, 2026 (in 10 days)

96% chance to win Jaroslav Baška

▲1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%

Sep 1Oct 14

5% chance to win Natália Svítková

0 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%

Sep 2Oct 14

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Outcome	Probability	24h change
Jaroslav Baška	96%	0 pts
Natália Svítková	5%	0 pts

Jaroslav Baška 96%

100%50%0%

Sep 1Sep 22Oct 14

Key questions

When is the vote?

Saturday, October 24, 2026 (in 10 days).

Who is expected to win?

Jaroslav Baška, with a market-implied probability of 96%, ahead of Natália Svítková at 5%. Updated 2026-10-14 08:07 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

Jaroslav Baška 96%

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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Trenčín Region Governor Election 2026: Jaroslav Baška, with a market-implied probability of 96%, ahead of Natália Svítková at 5%. Source: electiontracker.eu, October 14, 2026