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Kaduna, Nigeria Governor Election Winner 2027

6 outcomes · Voting day: (in 116 days)

60% chance to win Uba Sani

▲5 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 22Oct 13

29% chance to win Mohammed Ashiru Isa

▼6 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 23Oct 13

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Uba Sani60%▼2 pts
Mohammed Ashiru Isa29%▼1 pt
Shehu Bawa6%0 pts
Danjuma Laah3%0 pts
Aminu Abdulfatah1%–
Auwal Tafoki<1%0 pts
  1. Uba Sani 60%
  2. Mohammed Ashiru Isa 29%
100%50%0%

Aug 22Sep 17Oct 13

Key questions

When is the vote?

Saturday, February 6, 2027 (in 116 days).

Who is expected to win?

Uba Sani, with a market-implied probability of 60%, ahead of Mohammed Ashiru Isa at 29%. Updated 2026-10-13 16:42 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

Uba Sani 60%

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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