LietuviųNorthern Nalšia District By-Election Winner 2026
11 outcomes · Voting day: (in 26 days)
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
 Gintautas Kindurys | 42% | ▲1 pt |
 Ignotas Adomavičius | 20% | ▲4 pts |
 Vladislav Kondratovič | 19% | ▲1 pt |
 Dalia Štraupaitė | 15% | ▲2 pts |
 Mėta Palauskaitė | 5% | ▼5 pts |
 Antanas Šakalis | 5% | ▼6 pts |
 Giedrius Dainys | 4% | 0 pts |
 Nikolajus Lebedevičius | 4% | 0 pts |
 Maksimas Paukštė | 4% | 0 pts |
| Viktor Voronin | 3% | – |
 Andrej Šildiajėv | 2% | – |
- Gintautas Kindurys 42%
- Ignotas Adomavičius 20%
- Vladislav Kondratovič 19%
100%50%0%
Sep 24Oct 3Oct 13
Key questions
When is the vote?
Sunday, November 8, 2026 (in 26 days).
Who is expected to win?
Gintautas Kindurys, with a market-implied probability of 42%, ahead of Ignotas Adomavičius at 20%. Updated 2026-10-13 16:48 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.