Premier of British Columbia 2026

Q: When is the vote?

Saturday, October 24, 2026 (in 17 days).

Q: Who is expected to win?

Lorne Doerkson, with a market-implied probability of 58%, ahead of David Eby at 43%. Updated 2026-10-07 14:33 UTC.

Q: What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

6 outcomes · Voting day: Sat, Oct 24, 2026 (in 17 days)

58% chance Lorne Doerkson

▲7 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%

Sep 25Oct 7

43% chance David Eby

▼7 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%

Sep 24Oct 7

Use widget

Outcome	Probability	24h change
Lorne Doerkson	58%	▲8 pts
David Eby	43%	▼5 pts
John Rustad	<1%	–
Peter Milobar	<1%	–
Emily Lowan	<1%	–
Dallas Brodie	<1%	–

Lorne Doerkson 58%
David Eby 43%

100%50%0%

Sep 24Sep 30Oct 7

Key questions

When is the vote?

Saturday, October 24, 2026 (in 17 days).

Who is expected to win?

Lorne Doerkson, with a market-implied probability of 58%, ahead of David Eby at 43%. Updated 2026-10-07 14:33 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

Embed this widget

Paste this code into an article or page. The widget updates by itself: the market-implied probability before the vote, live on election night, then the official result.

<iframe src="https://electiontracker.eu/embed/canada/premier-of-british-columbia-2026" title="Premier of British Columbia" width="100%" height="400" style="border:0;max-width:640px" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<script src="https://electiontracker.eu/embed.js" async></script>

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