British Columbia General Election Winner 2026
5 outcomes · Voting day: (in 17 days)
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 55% | ▲6 pts |
| NDP | 45% | ▼6 pts |
| Greens | <1% | – |
| CentreBC | <1% | – |
| OneBC | <1% | – |
- Conservative 55%
- NDP 45%
100%50%0%
Sep 24Sep 30Oct 7
Key questions
When is the vote?
Saturday, October 24, 2026 (in 17 days).
Who is expected to win?
Conservative, with a market-implied probability of 55%, ahead of NDP at 45%. Updated 2026-10-07 14:28 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.