Home › Australia

Who will be the Prime Minister of Australia after the election?

6 outcomes · Closes Sep 24, 2028

34% chance Anthony Albanese

▼10 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%

Jun 2026Oct 2026

25% chance Pauline Hanson

▲2 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%

Jun 2026Oct 2026

Use widget

Outcome	Probability	24h change
Anthony Albanese	34%	▼8 pts
Pauline Hanson	25%	▲1 pt
Angus Taylor	7%	▼2 pts
Jim Chalmers	6%	–
Robbie Katter	1%	–
Larissa Waters	1%	–

Anthony Albanese 34%
Pauline Hanson 25%
Angus Taylor 7%

100%50%0%

Jun 2026Aug 2026Oct 2026

Key questions

Who is expected to win?

Anthony Albanese, with a market-implied probability of 34%, ahead of Pauline Hanson at 25%. Updated 2026-10-07 13:52 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

Embed this widget

Paste this code into an article or page. The widget updates by itself: the market-implied probability before the vote, live on election night, then the official result.

<iframe src="https://electiontracker.eu/embed/australia/who-will-be-the-prime-minister-after-the-election-2028" title="Who will be the Prime Minister of Australia after the election?" width="100%" height="400" style="border:0;max-width:640px" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<script src="https://electiontracker.eu/embed.js" async></script>

Preview

More widgets and options for newsrooms →