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Venezuelan Presidential Election Winner 2029

10 outcomes · Closes · Use widget

@electiontracker.eu

OutcomeProbability24h change
María Corina Machado51%–
Delcy Rodríguez18%–
Edmundo González13%–
Henrique Capriles11%–
Manuel Rosales10%–
Marco Rubio9%–
Diosdado Cabello7%–
Donald Trump7%–
Nicolás Maduro6%–
Jorge Rodríguez5%–

Key questions

Who is expected to win?

María Corina Machado, with a market-implied probability of 51%, ahead of Delcy Rodríguez at 18%. Updated 2026-10-27 05:14 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

María Corina Machado 51%

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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