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Wisconsin Secretary of State Election Winner 2026

2 outcomes · Closes

84% chance to win JoCasta Zamarripa (D)

Probability

50%
Sep 6Oct 7

14% chance to win Jay Schroeder (R)

▲1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%
Sep 5Oct 7

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OutcomeProbability24h change
JoCasta Zamarripa (D)84%–
Jay Schroeder (R)14%▲2 pts
  1. JoCasta Zamarripa (D) 84%
  2. Jay Schroeder (R) 14%
100%50%0%

Sep 5Sep 21Oct 7

Key questions

Who is expected to win?

JoCasta Zamarripa (D), with a market-implied probability of 84%, ahead of Jay Schroeder (R) at 14%. Updated 2026-10-07 16:47 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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