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2026 Tarrant County Judge Election Winner

2 outcomes · Voting day: Tue, Nov 3, 2026 (in 27 days)

48% chance to win Alisa Simmons

▼13 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%

Jun 2026Oct 2026

39% chance to win Tim O'Hare

▲6 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%

Jun 2026Oct 2026

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Outcome	Probability	24h change
Alisa Simmons	48%	▼8 pts
Tim O'Hare	39%	▲2 pts

Alisa Simmons 48%
Tim O'Hare 39%

100%50%0%

Jun 2026Aug 2026Oct 2026

Key questions

When is the vote?

Tuesday, November 3, 2026 (in 27 days).

Who is expected to win?

Alisa Simmons, with a market-implied probability of 48%, ahead of Tim O'Hare at 39%. Updated 2026-10-07 14:33 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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Paste this code into an article or page. The widget updates by itself: the market-implied probability before the vote, live on election night, then the official result.

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