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Texas Railroad Commissioner Election Winner 2026

2 outcomes · Closes

50% chance to win Jon Rosenthal (D)

▼3 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Sep 15Oct 7

49% chance to win Bo French (R)

▲1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%
Sep 16Oct 7

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Jon Rosenthal (D)50%▼4 pts
Bo French (R)49%▲4 pts
  1. Jon Rosenthal (D) 50%
  2. Bo French (R) 49%
100%50%0%

Sep 15Sep 26Oct 7

Key questions

Who is expected to win?

Jon Rosenthal (D), with a market-implied probability of 50%, ahead of Bo French (R) at 49%. Updated 2026-10-07 18:45 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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