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Ohio Secretary of State Election Winner 2026

2 outcomes · Closes

54% chance to win Robert Sprague (R)

▼3 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Sep 5Oct 7

44% chance to win Allison Russo (D)

▲3 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Sep 6Oct 7

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Robert Sprague (R)54%▼3 pts
Allison Russo (D)44%▲2 pts
  1. Robert Sprague (R) 54%
  2. Allison Russo (D) 44%
100%50%0%

Sep 5Sep 21Oct 7

Key questions

Who is expected to win?

Robert Sprague (R), with a market-implied probability of 54%, ahead of Allison Russo (D) at 44%. Updated 2026-10-07 16:42 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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