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Michigan Secretary of State Election Winner 2026

2 outcomes · Closes

88% chance to win Garlin Gilchrist (D)

Probability

50%
Sep 5Oct 7

12% chance to win Anthony Forlini (R)

▼1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%
Sep 6Oct 7

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Garlin Gilchrist (D)88%–
Anthony Forlini (R)12%–
  1. Garlin Gilchrist (D) 88%
  2. Anthony Forlini (R) 12%
100%50%0%

Sep 5Sep 21Oct 7

Key questions

Who is expected to win?

Garlin Gilchrist (D), with a market-implied probability of 88%, ahead of Anthony Forlini (R) at 12%. Updated 2026-10-07 16:42 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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