2026 Louisville Mayoral Election Winner
2 outcomes · Voting day: (in 27 days)
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Craig Greenberg | 90% | – |
| Shameka Parrish-Wright | 8% | – |
- Craig Greenberg 90%
- Shameka Parrish-Wright 8%
100%50%0%
Jun 2026Aug 2026Oct 2026
Key questions
When is the vote?
Tuesday, November 3, 2026 (in 27 days).
Who is expected to win?
Craig Greenberg, with a market-implied probability of 90%, ahead of Shameka Parrish-Wright at 8%. Updated 2026-10-07 16:42 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.