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Iowa Attorney General Election Winner 2026

2 outcomes · Closes

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Brenna Bird (R)54%–
Nate Willems (D)43%–
  1. Brenna Bird (R) 54%
  2. Nate Willems (D) 43%
100%50%0%

Sep 5Sep 21Oct 7

Key questions

Who is expected to win?

Brenna Bird (R), with a market-implied probability of 54%, ahead of Nate Willems (D) at 43%. Updated 2026-10-07 16:42 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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