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Indiana Secretary of State Election Winner 2026

2 outcomes · Closes

57% chance to win Beau Bayh (D)

▼1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%
Sep 6Oct 7

43% chance to win Max Engling (R)

▼1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%
Sep 5Oct 7

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Beau Bayh (D)57%–
Max Engling (R)43%–
  1. Beau Bayh (D) 57%
  2. Max Engling (R) 43%
100%50%0%

Sep 5Sep 21Oct 7

Key questions

Who is expected to win?

Beau Bayh (D), with a market-implied probability of 57%, ahead of Max Engling (R) at 43%. Updated 2026-10-07 16:42 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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