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2026 Henderson Mayoral Election Winner

2 outcomes · Voting day: (in 27 days)

79% chance to win Michelle Romero

▼10 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Jun 2026Oct 2026

17% chance to win Hollie Chadwick

▲8 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Jun 2026Oct 2026

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Michelle Romero79%▼3 pts
Hollie Chadwick17%▲2 pts
  1. Michelle Romero 79%
  2. Hollie Chadwick 17%
100%50%0%

Jun 2026Aug 2026Oct 2026

Key questions

When is the vote?

Tuesday, November 3, 2026 (in 27 days).

Who is expected to win?

Michelle Romero, with a market-implied probability of 79%, ahead of Hollie Chadwick at 17%. Updated 2026-10-07 16:42 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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