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Georgia Secretary of State Election Winner 2026

2 outcomes · Closes

59% chance to win Penny Brown Reynolds (D)

▲19 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Sep 6Oct 7

43% chance to win Tim Fleming (R)

▼5 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Sep 5Oct 7

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Penny Brown Reynolds (D)59%▲10 pts
Tim Fleming (R)43%▼5 pts
  1. Penny Brown Reynolds (D) 59%
  2. Tim Fleming (R) 43%
100%50%0%

Sep 5Sep 21Oct 7

Key questions

Who is expected to win?

Penny Brown Reynolds (D), with a market-implied probability of 59%, ahead of Tim Fleming (R) at 43%. Updated 2026-10-07 16:42 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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