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Arizona Attorney General Election Winner 2026

2 outcomes · Closes

80% chance to win Kris Mayes (D)

▲1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%
Sep 5Oct 7

17% chance to win Warren Petersen (R)

▼2 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Sep 6Oct 7

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Kris Mayes (D)80%–
Warren Petersen (R)17%–
  1. Kris Mayes (D) 80%
  2. Warren Petersen (R) 17%
100%50%0%

Sep 5Sep 21Oct 7

Key questions

Who is expected to win?

Kris Mayes (D), with a market-implied probability of 80%, ahead of Warren Petersen (R) at 17%. Updated 2026-10-07 17:41 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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