Election TrackerHow it worksFor newsrooms

Home › Sweden

Regional Board Chair of Dalarna?

3 outcomes · Voting day: (24 days ago)

95% chance Elin Norén

▼3 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 12Oct 7

6% chance Sofia Jarl

▲5 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 11Oct 7

Use widget

OutcomeProbability24h change
Elin Norén95%0 pts
Sofia Jarl6%▲2 pts
Kent Ekeroth2%–
  1. Elin Norén 95%
  2. Sofia Jarl 6%
100%50%0%

Aug 11Sep 8Oct 7

Key questions

When is the vote?

Sunday, September 13, 2026 (24 days ago).

Who is expected to win?

Elin Norén, with a market-implied probability of 95%, ahead of Sofia Jarl at 6%. Updated 2026-10-07 16:42 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

Related races

  1. Prime Minister of Sweden Magdalena Andersson 80%
  2. Which parties will be in the Swedish Government? Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 77%
  3. Regional Board Chair of Skåne? Carl Johan Sonesson 93%
  4. Regional Board Chair of Halland? Mikaela Waltersson 49%
  5. Regional Board Chair of Gävleborg? Eva Lindberg 91%
  6. Regional Board Chair of Östergötland? Mattias Ottosson 77%
Embed this widget

Paste this code into an article or page. The widget updates by itself: the market-implied probability before the vote, live on election night, then the official result.

Preview

More widgets and options for newsrooms →

Quote these figures

You are welcome to embed Election Tracker widgets and to quote individual figures, with credit and a link to electiontracker.eu. Copying the data in bulk (scraping, feeds, databases) or reselling it is not permitted. © Eastern Vikings OÜ.