Kathmandu Mayoral Election Winner 2027

5 outcomes · Closes Jan 1, 2028 · Use widget

Outcome	Probability	24h change
RSP	39%	–
Independent	29%	–
Congress	29%	–
UML	21%	–
NCP	12%	–

Key questions

Who is expected to win?

RSP, with a market-implied probability of 39%, ahead of Independent at 29%. Updated 2026-10-14 04:30 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

RSP 39%

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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Kathmandu Mayoral Election 2027: RSP, with a market-implied probability of 39%, ahead of Independent at 29%. Source: electiontracker.eu, October 14, 2026