Quito Mayoral Election Winner 2026
10 outcomes · Voting day: (in 32 days)
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
 Pabel Muñoz | 40% | – |
 Carla Larrea | 19% | – |
 Linda Romero | 17% | – |
 Harold Burbano | 14% | – |
 Wilson Merino | 13% | – |
 Jorge Yunda | 10% | – |
 Bernardo Jijón | 8% | – |
 César Díaz | 7% | – |
 Galo Almeida | 7% | – |
 Paúl Desamblanc | 7% | – |
- Pabel Muñoz 40%
- Carla Larrea 19%
- Linda Romero 17%
100%50%0%
Oct 28Oct 28Oct 28
Key questions
When is the vote?
Sunday, November 29, 2026 (in 32 days).
Who is expected to win?
Pabel Muñoz, with a market-implied probability of 40%, ahead of Carla Larrea at 19%. Updated 2026-10-28 20:24 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.