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Victoria Mayoral Election 2026

2 outcomes · Voting day: (in 10 days)

96% chance to win Marianne Alto

▼1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 12Oct 7

3% chance to win Melissa Cseszko

▲1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 11Oct 7

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Marianne Alto96%–
Melissa Cseszko3%0 pts
  1. Marianne Alto 96%
100%50%0%

Aug 11Sep 8Oct 7

Key questions

When is the vote?

Saturday, October 17, 2026 (in 10 days).

Who is expected to win?

Marianne Alto, with a market-implied probability of 96%, ahead of Melissa Cseszko at 3%. Updated 2026-10-07 15:35 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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