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Vernon, BC Mayoral Election Winner 2026

2 outcomes · Voting day: (in 10 days)

60% chance to win Victor Cumming

▲1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 25Oct 7

39% chance to win Kari Gares

▼1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 26Oct 7

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Victor Cumming60%▲1 pt
Kari Gares39%▲1 pt
  1. Victor Cumming 60%
  2. Kari Gares 39%
100%50%0%

Aug 25Sep 15Oct 7

Key questions

When is the vote?

Saturday, October 17, 2026 (in 10 days).

Who is expected to win?

Victor Cumming, with a market-implied probability of 60%, ahead of Kari Gares at 39%. Updated 2026-10-07 18:45 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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