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New Westminster, BC Mayoral Election Winner 2026

2 outcomes · Voting day: (in 10 days)

63% chance to win Patrick Johnstone

▼3 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 25Oct 7

27% chance to win Daniel Fontaine

▲5 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 25Oct 7

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Patrick Johnstone63%▲7 pts
Daniel Fontaine27%▲2 pts
  1. Patrick Johnstone 63%
  2. Daniel Fontaine 27%
100%50%0%

Aug 25Sep 15Oct 7

Key questions

When is the vote?

Saturday, October 17, 2026 (in 10 days).

Who is expected to win?

Patrick Johnstone, with a market-implied probability of 63%, ahead of Daniel Fontaine at 27%. Updated 2026-10-07 16:42 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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  4. Richmond Mayoral Election Rob Howard 51%
  5. Revelstoke, BC Mayoral Election Winner Gary Sulz 63%
  6. Kamloops, BC Mayoral Election Winner Mike O'Reilly 65%
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