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Kelowna Mayoral Election 2026

3 outcomes · Voting day: (in 10 days)

56% chance to win Ron Cannan

▼5 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 12Oct 7

44% chance to win Tom Dyas

▲9 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 11Oct 7

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Ron Cannan56%▼1 pt
Tom Dyas44%–
Emily Salsbury1%0 pts
  1. Ron Cannan 56%
  2. Tom Dyas 44%
100%50%0%

Aug 11Sep 8Oct 7

Key questions

When is the vote?

Saturday, October 17, 2026 (in 10 days).

Who is expected to win?

Ron Cannan, with a market-implied probability of 56%, ahead of Tom Dyas at 44%. Updated 2026-10-07 17:41 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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