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Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner 2027

3 outcomes · Closes

5% chance to win Kerry-Lynne Findlay

0 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Sep 1Oct 7

5% chance to win Pam Alexis

▼1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%
Sep 2Oct 7

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Kerry-Lynne Findlay5%–
Pam Alexis5%▲1 pt
Lakhwinder Jhaj2%0 pts
  1. Kerry-Lynne Findlay 5%
100%50%0%

Sep 1Sep 19Oct 7

Key questions

Who is expected to win?

Kerry-Lynne Findlay, with a market-implied probability of 5%, ahead of Pam Alexis at 5%. Updated 2026-10-07 18:45 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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